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Topics in this Issue of
June 16, 2008

 

 

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The Shell Oil Co. Bakersfield refinery is shown Aug. 25, 2004, in Bakersfield, Calif. Last November, Shell Oil Co. announced it would shutter this 72-year-old refinery, citing a decline in crude in the region. After a century of production that earned the Bakersfield region its reputation as the center of the universe for heavy oil in the United States, the fields of Kern County are slowly running dry. (AP Photo/Damian Dovarganes)

The End of Oil?

BEYOND THE AGE OF PETROLEUM. Klare, Michael. The Nation, November 2007. n.p. The author notes that, in its projections of future petroleum availability, the U.S. Department of Energy recently stopped talking about “oil” and began referring to “liquids”, a catch-all term for fuels from a variety of non-oil sources.  In this oblique way, Klare writes, the U.S. government has “signaled a fundamental, near-epochal shift: we are nearing the end of the Petroleum Age and have entered the Age of Insufficiency.”  READ MORE

A SOLAR GRAND PLAN. Zweibel, Ken; Mason, James; Fthenakis, Vasilis. Scientific American, January 2008. Solar power could eliminate U.S. dependence on imported oil and slash greenhouse gas emissions, note the authors, in this article on a bold proposal to construct a nation-wide solar-energy generation and distribution system by the year 2050. READ MORE

ENERGY RESOURCES AND OUR FUTURE. Energy Bulletin, December 2, 2006. On May 14, 1957, Navy Rear Admiral Hyman Rickover, considered the Father of the Nuclear Submarine, gave a speech to the Minnesota State Medical Association which he acknowledged “had no medical connotations” -– the rapidly growing consumption of fossil fuels in modern society.  He noted that our technological base depends on enormous amounts of energy: “What assurance do we then have that our energy needs will continue to be supplied by fossil fuels? The answer is - in the long run – none ... READ MORE

China

Rivals or Partners? Globalization and US-China Relations. Michael Mastanduno. Harvard International Review, Fall 2007. pp. 44-49. The global political economy currently stands at a crossroads. There are many key economic players -- an integrated European Union, a resource-rich Russia, a recovering Japan, and a rising India and Brazil. But two countries, the US and China, will continue to have disproportionate influence over the direction of the world economy, primarily due to their economic size and geopolitical prominence. READ MORE

Russia and China in the Global Economy. Harley Balzer. Demokratizatsiya, Winter 2008. pp. 37-47. When Mao died in 1976, Russia appeared better poised than China to become an important commercial and industrial power in the global economy. Yet it is China rather than Russia that has embraced globalization and developed trade and manufacturing, exporting increasingly higher-value-added goods. The explanation for this surprising outcome in found is Chinese elites viewing globalization as their best opportunity to catch up and overtake developed nations, while Russian elites are far more guarded in their acceptance of integration. The differences are illustrated by comparing leading sectors, regional development, human capital, and corruption. READ MORE

Europe and America

Staying Competitive with Europe. Susanne Forrest. International Educator, May/June 2008. pp. 88-92.  While much of that loss has been attributed to political fallout of 9/11 and the attendant difficulties for students from some countries to receive student visas, as well as the encroachment of UK, Australian, and Canadian universities upon traditional U.S. international student markets, not enough attention has been paid to the impact the Bologna Process and the ERASMUS program have had on declining international student enrollments in the United States. In addition to these changes that can be precipitated solely at the university level, federal and state government must become involved in the change process that will allow public universities stay globally competitive. READ MORE

Afghanistan

NO SIGN UNTIL THE BURST OF FIRE: UNDERSTANDING THE PAKISTAN-AFGHANISTAN FRONTIER Johnson, Thomas H.; Mason, M. Chris International Security, Spring 2008, pp. 41-77 The authors assert that the Pakistan-Afghanistan border area has become the most dangerous frontier on earth and the most challenging for U.S. national security interests. The portion of the border region that is home to extremist groups such the Taliban and al-Qaida coincides almost exactly with the area overwhelmingly dominated by the Pashtun tribes. The fact that most of Pakistan’s and Afghanistan’s violent religious extremism, and with it much of the counterterrorism challenge to the U.S., are contained within a single ethno-linguistic group, has not been fully grasped by U.S. policymakers. READ MORE

The Rise of Afghanistan's Insurgency: State Failure and Jihad, Seth G. Jones International Security, Spring 2008, pp. 7-40. In 2002 Afghanistan began to experience a violent insurgency as the Taliban and other groups conducted a sustained effort to overthrow the Afghan government. Why did an insurgency begin in Afghanistan? Answers to this question have important theoretical and policy implications. Conventional arguments, which focus on the role of grievance or greed, cannot explain the Afghan insurgency. Rather, a critical precondition was structural: the collapse of governance after the overthrow of the Taliban regime. The Afghan government was unable to provide basic services to the population; its security forces were too weak to establish law and order; and there were too few international forces to fill the gap. READ MORE

Africa

When China Met Africa. Serge Michel. Foreign Policy, May/June 2008, pp. 39 - 46. In Brazzaville, everything new appears to have come from China: the stadium, the airport, the televisions, the roads, the apartment buildings, the fake Nikes, the telephones, even the aphrodisiacs. Walking through this poor capital city in West Africa, a visitor could be forgiven for assuming he was in some colonial Chinese outpost. No one knows more about China’s reach in Congo than Claude Alphonse N’Silou, the Congolese minister for construction and housing. In fact, in Brazzaville, the Chinese are building more than a thousand units of housing designed by... READ MORE

Postconflict Reconstruction in Africa: Flawed Ideas about Failed States. Pierre Englebert, Denis M. Tull. International Security, Spring 2008, pp. 106-139. Post-conflict state reconstruction has become a priority of donors in Africa. Yet, externally sponsored reconstruction efforts have met with limited achievements in the region. This is partly due to three flawed assumptions on which reconstruction efforts are predicated. The first is that Western state institutions can be transferred to Africa. The poor record of past external efforts to construct and reshape African political and economic institutions casts doubts on the overly ambitious objectives of failed state reconstruction. READ MORE

Russia

DEALING WITH THE "NEW" RUSSIA: WILL U.S. RUSSIAN RELATIONS IMPROVE UNDER MEDVEDEV? Roland Flamini, The CQ Researcher, June 6, 2008, pp. 481-504. "Winston Churchill once famously called Russia 'a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma.' Viewed from Washington, or any Western capital, Churchill's observation still rings true in today's post-Soviet era. On May 7, Dmitry Medvedev became Russia's third president. But no one knows how much clout he'll exercise, given that he appointed his powerful predecessor, Vladimir Putin, as prime minister, a post that until now has been only marginal." READ MORE

EUROPE, RUSSIA AND AMERICAN MISSILE DEFENCE. Walter B Slocombe, Survival, April/May 2008, pp. 19-24. "Slocombe talks about the ballistic-missile-defense program of the US. He asserts that the proposal by the US has has set off a major controversy. It touches on many other issues: differences over Iran; a resurgent and assertive Russia; European suspicions of American unilateralism and militarism; strains within Europe between old and new; the future of arms control and the future of NATO--all overlain by domestic political issues." READ MORE

WHERE US AND RUSSIAN INTERESTS OVERLAP. Dmitri Trenin, Current History, May 2008, pp. 219-224. "Among the emerging priorities of American foreign policy, Russia hardly features. A return to the cold war is highly improbable— it could only result from a colossal policy failure in both Washington and Moscow. A sudden rekindling of 'strategic partnership,' under which Russia would follow the us lead, is even less likely. When Russia does come up in conversations, American frustration with Moscow is palpable. Russia is portrayed as a country on the margins, a petro-power, a failed democracy, and the authoritarians’ best friend. But this is a narrow-minded and shortsighted view. While Russia itself is hardly an issue for America today (which in itself is not so bad), Moscow could be instrumental in helping to address a number of global problems that a new us president will face on taking office in 2009." READ MORE

Future U.S. Foreign Policy

A BETTER APPROACH TO FOREIGN AID POLICY. Justin Muzinich and Eric Werker, Policy Review, June/July 2008, var. pages. "Frustration with u.s. foreign aid is widespread. The left complains that the United States does not provide enough money to developing countries. The right laments that aid is an inefficient use of resources. Both sides are to some degree correct. While the United States distributed $ 23 billion in 2006 — more than any other country — it was still very little for the billion people living on less than one dollar a day. And for every dollar given to sub-Saharan Africa, less than 44 cents reached the ground, partially because of inefficient spending and corruption. READ MORE

THE ETHICS OF FLEEING: WHAT AMERICA STILL OWES IRAQ. Jean Bethke Elshtain, World Affairs, Spring 2008, pp. 91-98. "The Iraq War has, or bids to, become a litmus test of political identity of the sort that Americans associate with the Vietnam War. We should all be troubled by this. There are other facts to keep in mind. We remain in Europe sixty years after the conclusion of World War II. We are still in the Korean Peninsula fifty years on from the truce that ended that conflict. Although there are real questions about whether we have at present a political culture that can sustain such a longterm effort, the notion that we would just turn about and head home, without condition and regardless of consequence, runs counter to historical precedent (Vietnam being the dishonorable exception)." READ MORE

RETHINKING THE NATIONAL INTEREST: AMERICAN REALISM FOR A NEW WORLD. Condoleezza Rice, Foreign Affairs, July/August 2008, var. pages. "What is the national interest? This is a question that I took up in 2000 in these pages. That was a time that we as a nation revealingly called 'the post-Cold War era.' We knew better where we had been than where we were going. Yet monumental changes were unfolding -- changes that were recognized at the time but whose implications were largely unclear." READ MORE

STATECRAFT IN THE MIDDLE EAST. Dennis Ross, The Washington Quarterly, Summer 2008, pp. 7–22. "To leave a more favorable legacy on Iraq, Iran, and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the administration must clarify its objectives, make them more realistic, and use different forms of leverage to change behaviors."  READ MORE

Public Diplomacy

EDUCATIONAL AND CULTURAL EXCHANGES TO RESTORE AMERICA'S IMAGE. Carol Bellamy and Adam Weinberg, The Washington Quarterly, Summer 2008, pp. 55-68. "A new public diplomacy strategy to enhance the U.S. reputation will require a thorough understanding of the role of cultural and educational exchanges, or what is commonly called citizen diplomacy, and the many ways it can be more effectively leveraged." READ MORE

HARD POWER, SOFT POWER, SMART POWER. Ernest J Wilson III, Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, March 2008, pp. 110-124. "This article pushes beyond hard power and soft power to insist on smart power, defined as the capacity of an actor to combine elements of hard power and soft power in ways that are mutually reinforcing such that the actor's purposes are advanced effectively and efficiently." READ MORE

THE POST-9/1 AMERICAN CONUNDRUM: HOW TO WIN THE WAR OF IDEAS IN THE WORLD OF ISLAM. Ehsan Ahrari, Mediterranean Quarterly, Spring 2008, pp.82-98. "In America’s global war on terrorism, phrases like 'the war of ideas,' 'campaign
to win the hearts and minds of Muslims,' and 'public diplomacy' describe important themes. Although the United States had grown accustomed to conducting highly successful public diplomacy to win the war of ideas during the Cold War, its record in this realm in the post-9/11 era has been far from impressive. In this essay I describe the new challenge and spell out possible ways of gaining an upper hand in this 'war.'" READ MORE

TO WIN THE "WAR ON TERROR," WE MUST FIRTS WIN THE "WAR OF IDEAS": HERE'S HOW. Hady Amr and P. W.Singer, Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, July 2008, pp. 212-222. "This article addresses the critical role that public diplomacy plays in improving the deteriorating image of the United States in the Muslim world. The authors argue that both public diplomacy and policies, including those on civil liberties, are vital to U.S. success in the war on terrorism and that the next U.S. president must designate this effort as a matter of highest national security importance." READ MORE

Elections 2008

CAMPAIGN FINANCE REFORM: HAVE EFFORTS TO REIN IN POLITICAL DONATIONS FAILED? Thomas J. Billitteri, The CQ Researcher, June 13, 2008, pp. 508-528. "As the 2008 presidential contest continues, the campaign finance system is in upheaval. Six years after Congress passed the landmark Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act to help curb the influence of unregulated "soft" money in politics, the so-called McCain-Feingold law is facing court challenges and persistent claims that it infringes on free-speech rights. Meanwhile, the system of public funding for federal campaigns is teetering. Presumptive Democratic nominee Barack Obama is poised to be the first major-party presidential candidate to bypass the system in a general election." READ MORE

THE LONG ROAD TO HEALTH REFORM REQUIRES BIPARTISAN LEADERSHIP.
Christine C Ferguson et al. Health Affairs, May/Jun 2008, pp. 711-717.
"The United States appears headed toward another national debate about health system reform. Worry about access and health system deficiencies has reached critical mass, and polls indicate that health care leads the domestic agenda for the 2008 elections. This debate, like previous debates, will succeed or fail in Congress. We highlight key elements of recent sagas in health legislation and offer advice to the next president and Congress for improving the likelihood of a successful outcome in 2009-10: (1) make health reform a top legislative priority; (2) be leaders, not partisans; and (3) develop broad policy consensus but leave the policy details to Congress." READ MORE

THE 2008 PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARIES: WHAT IN AMERICA'S NAME IS GOING ON? Charles E. Cook Jr., The Washington Quarterly,  Summer 2008, pp. 193-204. "The 2008 presidential race has already featured more surprises and greater volatility than any since 1968. A look back at the spring presidential campaigns and a look ahead to what should be a similarly wild and turbulent general campaign in the general campaign in the fall." READ MORE

 

   
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