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Topics in this Issue of
April 1, 2009

 

 

 

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Article Alert is published by the Information Resource Center (IRC),  Office of Public Diplomacy,
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The alliance is comprised of 26 nations, which normally are represented on the North Atlantic Council by an ambassador or permanent representative who is supported by a national delegation composed of advisers and officials who represent their country on different NATO committees. NATO has added new members seven times since forming in 1949. Albania and Croatia are expected to formally join the alliance in April 2009.

The alliance is comprised of 26 nations, which normally are represented on the North Atlantic Council by an ambassador or permanent representative who is supported by a national delegation composed of advisers and officials who represent their country on different NATO committees. NATO has added new members seven times since forming in 1949. Albania and Croatia are expected to formally join the alliance in April 2009.

NATO at 60

THE THREE FACES OF NATO. Richard K. Betts, The National Interest, March-April 2009, pp. 31-38. "The cold war is over, but NATO lives on. Without a unifying Soviet threat, the alliance is facing an identity crisis. Torn between being a club for democracies and a means for fighting offensive wars, NATO has expanded right up to Russia’s front door, becoming ever more threatening to the resurgent power. Without a serious rethink of NATO’s fundamental purpose, the alliance could well come apart and create conflict with the former Soviet Union in the process." READ MORE

THE MYTH OF A NO-NATO-ENLARGEMENT PLEDGE TO RUSSIA. Mark Kramer, The Washington Quarterly, April 2009, pp. 39-61. "Recently declassified evidence undermines the contention that top-level assurances were provided to Gorbachev in 1990 not to enlarge NATO either eastward or to former Soviet states. No such assurances were ever given or sought." READ MORE

DOES A MULTI-TIER NATO MATTER? THE ATLANTIC ALLIANCE AND THE PROCESS OF STRATEGIC CHANGE. Timo Noetzel, Benjamin Schreer
, International Affairs, March 2009, pp. 211-226. "This year NATO will celebrate its 60th anniversary. So far the world's most powerful military alliance has been a remarkable success story. However, as the first decade of the new century draws to a close there appears to be a widening strategic rift among the allies. 'Two-tier NATO' is by now an established piece of shorthand in international strategic debate to indicate an 'alliance à la carte ' divided into two or more factions of member states with divergent interests. Evidently, the alliance increasingly struggles to reach consensus on a whole range of strategic issues. So is NATO on a path to disintegration and, ultimately, to failure?" READ MORE

NATO AT 60. Mats Berdal and David Ucko
, Survival, March 2009, pp. 55-76. "As NATO turns 60 in April 2009, celebrations will be tempered by the continuing difficulties it faces in Afghanistan. The Alliance's first operation outside the Euro-Atlantic area has revealed a major gap between grand ambitions and actual capability. Central to this problem is the political disunity among NATO's member-states. The Strasbourg-Kehl summit may provide an opportunity to rethink what can most realistically be expected from NATO in terms of its contribution to international peace and security. Here, much can be learnt from the manner in which it has thus far responded to changing strategic circumstances since the Cold War, and the constraints, internal and external, that have impinged on its activities and are likely to continue to do so. The evidence points to a need for NATO to bring its exalted political purposes into closer alignment with its actual military missions and capabilities. The Alliance still has a potentially important role to play, but greater realism is needed both as to its strengths and its weaknesses." READ MORE

NATO's 60TH BIRTHDAY.
Strategic Comments, March 2009, var. pages. "While celebrating 60 years of achievement at their upcoming April summit, NATO members must also face the difficult challenges ahead. France's recently announced return to the alliance's integrated military structure will be important. However, the new Obama administration will also be seeking extra contributions in Afghanistan, relations with Russia must be discussed and a new strategic concept needs commissioning. READ MORE

Vanishing Jobs

VANISHING JOBS: WILL THE PRESIDENT'S PLAN REDUCE UNEMPLOYMENT? Peter Katel, The CQ Researcher, March 13, 2009, pp. 225-248. "The news is grim and getting grimmer. The jobless rate recently hit 8.1 percent — the highest level in a quarter-century. American workers lost 651,000 jobs in February alone. All told, more than 12.5 million Americans are jobless — including 2.9 million who have been unemployed for at least 27 weeks. The nation is banking on the Obama administration's newly enacted, $787 billion 'economic stimulus' bill to spark job growth through government spending on infrastructure projects and other programs. Conservatives argue that the spending won't help, and some liberals say the magnitude of the crisis calls for still more stimulus money. The huge spending measure also includes funds to encourage states to expand eligibility for unemployment insurance, though some governors are resisting on the grounds that their states will wind up footing future bills. With no quick turnaround predicted, creating or saving jobs will remain the top priority for President Barack Obama and the millions of citizens counting on his administration's rescue plan." READ MORE

CHINA'S MILLIONS OF JOBLESS MIGRANTS. Michael Anti, World Policy Journal, Spring 2009, pp. 27–32. "Tens of millions of China’s internal migrants are finding the city and manufacturing jobs for which they left their hardscrabble life in remote rural areas of the interior have all but evaporated as the Western world no longer can afford billions upon billions of pairs of snazzy footwear they once turned out for what now seems like the princely wage of $10 a day." READ MORE

RECESSION HITS HOME, FROM ABROAD. Eva Sanchis, World Policy Journal, Spring 2009, pp. 53–59. "Across Latin America, but especially in the more fragile corners, such as Haiti and vast stretches of Mexico, the emigration of millions of their citizens to the United States, often illegally, has meant survival, even prosperity over the past several decades. The remittances, or money transfers sent back home, have allowed families and communities left behind to move from shanties to houses, build health care facilities and schools, feed and clothe the most deeply impoverished, and open factories and businesses that could lead, eventually, to self-sustaining economic growth without recourse to the wired funds that helped them emerge from bare subsistence. But with increasing unemployment among the migrant communities abroad, the well no longer appears bottomless." READ MORE

Web 2.0

HILL TUNES IN TO NEW MEDIA. Casey Winter. National Journal. March 7, 2009.  Lawmakers' growing awareness of the Internet's importance to campaigns and of their constituents' increasing desire to connect and gather information on the Web has led to a growing use of social media in Congress. Members are hiring new-media experts to extend their reach on the Web, Facebook, MySpace, Twitter and YouTube. Some new-media staffers like Matt Lira, who works for Representative Eric Cantor of Virginia, attends senior staff meetings so that integration with new media is considered on a daily basis. New-media staffers hope members of Congress will continue to expand their use of these tools as they come to see it as essential for promoting their agendas. READ MORE

MODERN WAYS TO SELL TRADITIONAL ART.  Stephen Doherty. American Artist, April 2009, pp. 30-6.  Today's Van Goghs aren't sending letters; they're probably Hogging and starting conversations with many other artists and collectors, thus creating what may someday be a historic archive of artistic development What all this means is that an aspiring artist can visit a website like those maintained by Terpening or American Artist and watch a painting demonstration, read the list of recommended materials, invite critiques from other artists, learn about other artists painting the same subjects in the same styles, upload paintings and solicit comments, enroll in a distance-learning course, enter a juried competition, or read blog posts written moments ago about a painting in progress. [...] the artists I admire most are the landscape painters who capture the vitality and character of nature. READ MORE

Politics

THE FUTURE OF THE GOP.  CAN REPUBLICANS STAGE A COMEBACK?  Alan Greenblatt.  CQ Researcher, March 20, 2009, PP.  251-271.  Last November's sweeping election of Barack Obama and further losses in Congress presented Republicans with their worst defeat in more than a decade. Republicans recognize that they are at a low ebb but believe they still have a firm foundation for success. Congressional Republicans have decided to oppose Obama's spending proposals, rather than trying to collaborate in a bipartisan fashion. They believe a clear statement of core party principles — lower taxes and limited government — will still be popular. Others aren't convinced, arguing that the party must adapt to challenges it faces among minorities, the young and voters outside the South. Other parties have snapped back quickly from similar losses, but some predict that Republicans face a long period in the political wilderness. Meanwhile, it's not clear who speaks for the party — the congressional leadership, potential presidential aspirants such as Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, or even radio talk-show host Rush Limbaugh.

Transparency and Government

WHAT WE DIDN’T KNOW HAS HURT US.  Clint Hendler.  Columbia Journalism Review, January/February 2009, pp.  The author contends that some of the measures to maintain the extreme secrecy of the executive branch enacted by the Bush presidency may be easy to unpick by an executive order of the Obama administration. Others, resulting from court rulings or entrenched bureaucratic traditions, will be more difficult to reverse. President Obama promised in his campaign and since his election he would restore transparency and improve information sharing. The author details some of the battles fought over freedom of information during the Bush administration, including the Sunshine in Government Initiative formed by the Associated Press. READ MORE

The future of Journalism

THE FUTURE OF JOURNALISM.  WILL NEWSPAPERS' DECLINE WEAKEN JOURNALISM? Tom Price.  CQ Researcher, March 27, 2009, pp. 275-295.  Thomas Jefferson once famously remarked that if he had to choose between government without newspapers or newspapers without government, he wouldn't hesitate to preserve newspapers. Today, however, newspapers across the country are declining in circulation, advertising and profitability. Some are ceasing to publish. Others are reducing or closing Washington and state-capital bureaus, laying off staff and cutting back the news coverage they provide. Many journalists, scholars, political activists and government officials worry that government without newspapers could be on the horizon, and that citizens then would be unable to obtain sufficient information for effective self-government. As more Americans turn to the Internet and cable television for news, however, others are hopeful that new forms of journalism will fill the gaps. Meanwhile, newspapers are attempting to give themselves new birth online. READ MORE


Middle East Elusive Peace

THE RISE AND DEMISE OF THE TWO-STATE PARADIGM. Efraim Inbar, Orbis, Spring 2009, pp. 265-283. "The conventional wisdom recommends the establishment of a Palestinian state to bring about an end to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict (the two-state paradigm). This article first reviews the confluence of domestic and international factors that led to the resurgence of the two-state paradigm. Next, it concludes that a peaceful outcome in accordance with this paradigm is unlikely to emerge in the near future: the two national movements, the Palestinian and the Zionist, are not close to a historic compromise, and the Palestinians are not able to build a state. Finally, the article analyzes the policy options available to policymakers. State-building is unlikely to succeed. Similarly, a binational state, where Arabs and Jews live peacefully together is not within reach. A regional approach that advocates a greater role for Arab states in Palestinian affairs has better chances of stabilizing the situation than the previous options. Finally, in the absence of a solution, the most realistic policy appears to be conflict management." READ MORE

NETANYAHU TO OBAMA: STOP IRAN -- OR I WILL. Jeffrey Goldberg,
Atlantic Monthly, April 2009, var. pages. "The message from Israel’s new prime minister is stark: if the Obama administration doesn’t prevent Tehran from developing nuclear weapons, Israel may be forced to attack." READ MORE

DRAWING A BRIGHT REDLINE: FORESTALLING NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION IN THE MIDDLE EAST. Mark Fitzpatrick, Arms Control Today, Jan/Feb 2009, pp. 10-13. "If Iran goes nuclear, so too will more of its neighbors, or so says the established wisdom. It is a logical deduction given the extent to which Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey feel a need to maintain power and political parity with Iran and the security concerns that Persian Gulf countries already harbor about the would-be regional hegemon to their northeast. If any of them follow Iran or if Israel abandons its policy of nuclear opacity, the domino effect could spread further and include counties, such as Algeria, that have sparked proliferation concerns in the past. A proliferation cascade in the Middle East is not a foregone conclusion. Adroit policy choices and practices by the Obama administration can build a bulwark against a Middle East nuclear tipping phenomenon. READ MORE

India

INDIA'S NEW FACE. Robert D. Kaplan, Atlantic Monthly, April 2009, var. pages. "Meet Narendra Modi, chief minister of Gujarat and the brightest star in the Hindu-chauvinist Bharatiya Janata Party. Under Modi, Gujarat has become an economic dynamo. But he also presided over India’s worst communal riots in decades, a 2002 slaughter that left almost 2,000 Muslims dead. Exploiting the insecurities and tensions stoked by India’s opening to the world, Modi has turned his state into a stronghold of Hindu extremism, shredding Gandhi’s vision of secular coexistence in the process. One day, he could be governing the world’s largest democracy." READ MORE

CITIZEN INDIA: THE MANY ARE ONE. Pavan K. Varma, World Policy Journal, Spring 2009, pp. 45–52. "Winston Churchill once said that India is merely a “geographical expression—no more a single country than the equator.” His colonial assumption was that the Indian nation was a creation of the British, and that prior to it there was only a collection of competing diversities—linguistic, ethnic, religious, regional, and political. Today, Churchill can perhaps be forgiven for articulating the hubris of a conquering power, but the fact is that the notion of India far preceded the coming of the British in the seventeenth century." READ MORE

A RISING INDIA'S SEARCH FOR A FOREIGN POLICY. Harsh V. Pant, Orbis, Spring 2009, pp. 250-264. "As India seeks to become a major player on the international political stage, it will face two major internal constraints. First, India will have to recognize the need to exploit the extant structure of international system to its advantage more effectively. Structural constraints are the most formidable ones a state encounters in its drive towards the status of a major power. Yet, Indian foreign policy continues to be reactive to the strategic environment rather than attempting to shape the strategic realities." READ MORE

Pakistan

WHAT'S THE PROBLEM WITH PAKISTAN? Stephen P. Cohen, C. Christine Fair, Sumit Ganguly, Shaun Gregory, Aqil Shah, Ashley J. Tellis. Foreign Affairs roundtable, var. pages. "A Foreign Affairs roundtable discussion on the causes of instability in Pakistan and what, if anything, can be done about them." READ MORE

MUSHARRAF AND PAKISTAN: DEMOCRACY POSTPONED. Mohamed A. El-Khawas
,
Mediterranean Quarterly, Winter 2009, pp. 94-118.
"Following a 1999 coup, Pakistan's General Pervez Musharraf ruled by decree with the support of the military. He held a presidential referendum and got his party elected. He amended the constitution to legitimize his military rule. His involvement in the war on terrorism led to the rise of religious extremism, and he persuaded the United States to propose a power-sharing plan. In 2007, Musharraf got himself re-elected by the outgoing parliament, an election subsequently challenged in court. In November, he declared a state of emergency and dismissed Supreme Court justices whom he feared would rule against him. Under external pressure, he ended the emergency after he had secured the presidency and resigned from the military. In 2008, opposition parties won the parliamentary elections and formed a coalition government. They have not yet reinstated the dismissed judges. They forced Musharraf to resign, but more steps are needed to complete the transition to a true democracy." READ MORE

WHAT IS HAPPENING IN PAKISTAN? Hilary Synnott, Survival, February–March 2009, pp. 61-80. "The challenges in southwestern Asia need to be considered in three separate but related contexts: Afghanistan, the Afghan–Pakistani tribal belt, and Pakistan. In the present conjuncture, Pakistan is arguably the most important of the three. With nuclear weapons and a huge army, a population over five times that of Afghanistan, and simultaneous security, political and economic crises, it now seems less able, without outside help, to muddle through its challenges than at any time since its war with India in 1971." READ MORE

TIME FOR SOBER REALISM: RENEGOTIATING RELATIONS WITH PAKISTAN. C. Christine Fair, The Washington Quarterly, April 2009, pp. 149 172. "The United States has failed to achieve all but minimal progress toward most of its objectives with Pakistan. Pakistan’s intentions and security perceptions are the crux of the problem, and U.S. policy must significantly change to address them." READ MORE

The Future of War

THE 21ST CENTURY SECURITY ENVIRONMENT AND THE FUTURE OF WAR. Colin S. Gray,  Parameters, Winter 08/09, pp. 14-26. "The author takes the reader on a tour de force of Western grand strategy and its impact on the future of war, utilizing the Thucydidean triptych of 'fear, honor, and interest' to analyze the twenty-first century environment and the ability for nations to plan for the future conduct of war. Gray cautions, “If you spend a lot of time talking about the future you can forget that you do not really know the subject.” He concludes with five pragmatic and sobering thoughts relating to the future military planners and practitioners may anticipate. Perhaps his most significant warning is that too many people have become fixated on the challenge posed by terrorism." READ MORE

THE FUTURE OF WAR AND AMERICAN MILITARY STRATEGY. Michael C. Horowitz, Dan A. Shalmon, Orbis, Spring 2009, pp. 300-318. "The outcome of ongoing debates over the future of American military strategy will play a critical role in shaping the foreign and military policies of the United States over the next decade. Traditionalists worry about the shift towards emphasizing counterinsurgency (COIN) operations and irregular warfare, believing that the use of force is often ineffective in COIN situations and the American military should concentrate on planning for conventional war. In contrast, COIN advocates argue that the United States must focus its efforts on preparing for the wars it is most likely to fight, irregular wars. However, both schools of thought rely on assumptions about the future security environment that may reveal another path forward." READ MORE

DEFINING STRATEGIC PRIORITIES: BALLISTIC MISSILE DEFENSE, IRAN, AND RELATIONS WITH MAJOR POWERS.  Kenneth B. Moss, Mediterranean Quarterly, Winter 2009, pp. 31-51. "The planned deployment of ballistic missile defense systems in Poland and a radar system in the Czech Republic to defend against possible attack from Iran has stirred strong opposition from Moscow. Concern about Iran's nuclear-enrichment program is legitimate, but the United States must address this issue by reconciling global objectives with regional tensions in the Middle East. If a negotiated solution is found, US policy must consider the reasons behind Iran's program, the dangers of proliferation of nuclear capabilities throughout the Middle East, and the strategic objectives the United States seeks with Russia, China, and Europe." READ MORE

DIRTY WINDOWS AND BURNING HOUSES: SETTING THE RECORD STRAIGHT ON IRREGULAR WARFARE. John A. Nagl and Brian M Burton, The Washington Quarterly, April 2009, pp. 91 101. "Although military force is not always the tool of choice, the U.S. military must continue to improve its ability to conduct post-conflict reconstruction, counterinsurgencies, and train and advise allied security forces, all while simultaneously preserving its major combat capabilities. Balance is the key." READ MORE

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