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Topics in this
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April 1, 2009
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The alliance
is comprised of 26 nations, which normally are represented
on the North Atlantic Council by an ambassador or permanent
representative who is supported by a national delegation
composed of advisers and officials who represent their
country on different NATO committees. NATO has added new
members seven times since forming in 1949. Albania and
Croatia are expected to formally join the alliance in April
2009. |
NATO at 60
THE THREE FACES
OF NATO. Richard K. Betts, The National Interest,
March-April 2009, pp. 31-38. "The cold war is over, but NATO lives on. Without a unifying Soviet
threat, the alliance is facing an identity crisis. Torn between
being a club for democracies and a means for fighting offensive
wars, NATO has expanded right up to Russia’s front door, becoming
ever more threatening to the resurgent power. Without a serious
rethink of NATO’s fundamental purpose, the alliance could well come
apart and create conflict with the former Soviet Union in the
process."
READ MORE
THE MYTH OF A NO-NATO-ENLARGEMENT
PLEDGE TO RUSSIA. Mark Kramer, The Washington Quarterly, April
2009, pp. 39-61. "Recently declassified evidence undermines the
contention that top-level assurances were provided to Gorbachev in
1990 not to enlarge NATO either eastward or to former Soviet states.
No such assurances were ever given or sought."
READ MORE
DOES A MULTI-TIER NATO MATTER? THE ATLANTIC ALLIANCE AND THE PROCESS
OF STRATEGIC CHANGE. Timo Noetzel, Benjamin Schreer,
International Affairs, March 2009, pp. 211-226. "This year NATO will
celebrate its 60th anniversary. So far the world's most powerful
military alliance has been a remarkable success story. However, as
the first decade of the new century draws to a close there appears
to be a widening strategic rift among the allies. 'Two-tier NATO' is
by now an established piece of shorthand in international strategic
debate to indicate an 'alliance à la carte ' divided into two or
more factions of member states with divergent interests. Evidently,
the alliance increasingly struggles to reach consensus on a whole
range of strategic issues. So is NATO on a path to disintegration
and, ultimately, to failure?"
READ MORE
NATO AT 60. Mats Berdal and David Ucko,
Survival, March 2009,
pp. 55-76. "As NATO turns 60 in April 2009, celebrations will be
tempered by the continuing difficulties it faces in Afghanistan. The
Alliance's first operation outside the Euro-Atlantic area has
revealed a major gap between grand ambitions and actual capability.
Central to this problem is the political disunity among NATO's
member-states. The Strasbourg-Kehl summit may provide an opportunity
to rethink what can most realistically be expected from NATO in
terms of its contribution to international peace and security. Here,
much can be learnt from the manner in which it has thus far
responded to changing strategic circumstances since the Cold War,
and the constraints, internal and external, that have impinged on
its activities and are likely to continue to do so. The evidence
points to a need for NATO to bring its exalted political purposes
into closer alignment with its actual military missions and
capabilities. The Alliance still has a potentially important role to
play, but greater realism is needed both as to its strengths and its
weaknesses."
READ MORE
NATO's 60TH BIRTHDAY.
Strategic Comments, March 2009, var.
pages. "While celebrating 60 years of achievement at their upcoming
April summit, NATO members must also face the difficult challenges
ahead. France's recently announced return to the alliance's
integrated military structure will be important. However, the new Obama
administration will also be seeking extra contributions in
Afghanistan, relations with Russia must be discussed and a new
strategic concept needs commissioning.
READ MORE
Vanishing Jobs
VANISHING JOBS:
WILL THE PRESIDENT'S PLAN REDUCE UNEMPLOYMENT? Peter Katel,
The CQ Researcher, March 13, 2009, pp. 225-248. "The news is grim and getting grimmer. The jobless rate recently hit
8.1 percent — the highest level in a quarter-century. American
workers lost 651,000 jobs in February alone. All told, more than
12.5 million Americans are jobless — including 2.9 million who have
been unemployed for at least 27 weeks. The nation is banking on the
Obama administration's newly enacted, $787 billion 'economic
stimulus' bill to spark job growth through government spending on
infrastructure projects and other programs. Conservatives argue that
the spending won't help, and some liberals say the magnitude of the
crisis calls for still more stimulus money. The huge spending
measure also includes funds to encourage states to expand
eligibility for unemployment insurance, though some governors are
resisting on the grounds that their states will wind up footing
future bills. With no quick turnaround predicted, creating or saving
jobs will remain the top priority for President Barack Obama and the
millions of citizens counting on his administration's rescue plan."
READ MORE
CHINA'S MILLIONS OF JOBLESS MIGRANTS.
Michael Anti, World Policy Journal, Spring 2009, pp. 27–32.
"Tens of millions of China’s internal
migrants are finding the city and manufacturing jobs for which they
left their hardscrabble life in remote rural areas of the interior
have all but evaporated as the Western world no longer can afford
billions upon billions of pairs of snazzy footwear they once turned
out for what now seems like the princely wage of $10 a day."
READ MORE
RECESSION HITS
HOME, FROM ABROAD.
Eva Sanchis, World Policy Journal, Spring 2009, pp. 53–59.
"Across Latin America, but especially in
the more fragile corners, such as Haiti and vast
stretches of Mexico, the emigration of millions of their citizens to
the United States, often illegally, has meant survival, even
prosperity over the past several decades. The remittances, or money
transfers sent back home, have allowed families and communities left
behind to move from shanties to houses, build health care facilities
and schools, feed and clothe the most deeply impoverished, and open
factories and businesses that could lead, eventually, to
self-sustaining economic growth without recourse to the wired funds
that helped them emerge from bare subsistence. But with increasing
unemployment among the migrant communities abroad, the well no
longer appears bottomless."
READ MORE
Web 2.0
HILL TUNES IN TO NEW MEDIA. Casey Winter.
National Journal. March 7, 2009. Lawmakers' growing awareness of the Internet's importance to
campaigns and of their constituents' increasing desire to connect
and gather information on the Web has led to a growing use of social
media in Congress. Members are hiring new-media experts to extend
their reach on the Web, Facebook, MySpace, Twitter and YouTube. Some
new-media staffers like Matt Lira, who works for Representative Eric
Cantor of Virginia, attends senior staff meetings so that
integration with new media is considered on a daily basis. New-media
staffers hope members of Congress will continue to expand their use
of these tools as they come to see it as essential for promoting
their agendas.
READ MORE
MODERN WAYS TO SELL TRADITIONAL ART. Stephen Doherty.
American Artist, April 2009, pp. 30-6. Today's Van
Goghs aren't sending letters; they're probably Hogging and starting
conversations with many other artists and collectors, thus creating
what may someday be a historic archive of artistic development What
all this means is that an aspiring artist can visit a website like
those maintained by Terpening or American Artist and watch a
painting demonstration, read the list of recommended materials,
invite critiques from other artists, learn about other artists
painting the same subjects in the same styles, upload paintings and
solicit comments, enroll in a distance-learning course, enter a
juried competition, or read blog posts written moments ago about a
painting in progress. [...] the artists I admire most are the
landscape painters who capture the vitality and character of nature.
READ MORE
Politics
THE FUTURE OF THE GOP. CAN
REPUBLICANS STAGE A COMEBACK? Alan Greenblatt. CQ
Researcher, March 20, 2009, PP. 251-271. Last
November's sweeping election of Barack Obama and further losses in
Congress presented Republicans with their worst defeat in more than
a decade. Republicans recognize that they are at a low ebb but
believe they still have a firm foundation for success. Congressional
Republicans have decided to oppose Obama's spending proposals,
rather than trying to collaborate in a bipartisan fashion. They
believe a clear statement of core party principles — lower taxes and
limited government — will still be popular. Others aren't convinced,
arguing that the party must adapt to challenges it faces among
minorities, the young and voters outside the South. Other parties
have snapped back quickly from similar losses, but some predict that
Republicans face a long period in the political wilderness.
Meanwhile, it's not clear who speaks for the party — the
congressional leadership, potential presidential aspirants such as
Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, or even
radio talk-show host Rush Limbaugh.
Transparency and Government
WHAT WE
DIDN’T KNOW HAS HURT US. Clint Hendler. Columbia Journalism Review,
January/February 2009, pp. The author contends that some of the measures to maintain the
extreme secrecy of the executive branch enacted by the Bush
presidency may be easy to unpick by an executive order of the Obama
administration. Others, resulting from court rulings or entrenched
bureaucratic traditions, will be more difficult to reverse.
President Obama promised in his campaign and since his election he
would restore transparency and improve information sharing. The
author details some of the battles fought over freedom of
information during the Bush administration, including the Sunshine
in Government Initiative formed by the Associated Press.
READ MORE
The future of Journalism
THE FUTURE OF JOURNALISM. WILL
NEWSPAPERS' DECLINE WEAKEN JOURNALISM? Tom Price. CQ
Researcher, March 27, 2009, pp. 275-295. Thomas
Jefferson once famously remarked that if he had to choose between
government without newspapers or newspapers without government, he
wouldn't hesitate to preserve newspapers. Today, however, newspapers
across the country are declining in circulation, advertising and
profitability. Some are ceasing to publish. Others are reducing or
closing Washington and state-capital bureaus, laying off staff and
cutting back the news coverage they provide. Many journalists,
scholars, political activists and government officials worry that
government without newspapers could be on the horizon, and that
citizens then would be unable to obtain sufficient information for
effective self-government. As more Americans turn to the Internet
and cable television for news, however, others are hopeful that new
forms of journalism will fill the gaps. Meanwhile, newspapers are
attempting to give themselves new birth online.
READ MORE
Middle East Elusive Peace
THE RISE AND DEMISE OF THE TWO-STATE
PARADIGM.
Efraim Inbar, Orbis, Spring
2009, pp. 265-283. "The conventional wisdom recommends the establishment of a
Palestinian state to bring about an end to the Israeli-Palestinian
conflict (the two-state paradigm). This article first reviews the
confluence of domestic and international factors that led to the
resurgence of the two-state paradigm. Next, it concludes that a
peaceful outcome in accordance with this paradigm is unlikely to
emerge in the near future: the two national movements, the
Palestinian and the Zionist, are not close to a historic compromise,
and the Palestinians are not able to build a state. Finally, the
article analyzes the policy options available to policymakers.
State-building is unlikely to succeed. Similarly, a binational
state, where Arabs and Jews live peacefully together is not within
reach. A regional approach that advocates a greater role for Arab
states in Palestinian affairs has better chances of stabilizing the
situation than the previous options. Finally, in the absence of a
solution, the most realistic policy appears to be conflict
management."
READ MORE
NETANYAHU TO OBAMA: STOP IRAN -- OR I WILL.
Jeffrey Goldberg, Atlantic Monthly, April
2009, var. pages. "The message from Israel’s new prime minister is stark: if the Obama
administration doesn’t prevent Tehran from developing nuclear
weapons, Israel may be forced to attack."
READ MORE
DRAWING A BRIGHT REDLINE: FORESTALLING
NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION IN THE MIDDLE EAST. Mark Fitzpatrick,
Arms Control Today, Jan/Feb 2009, pp. 10-13. "If Iran
goes nuclear, so too will more of its neighbors, or so says the
established wisdom. It is a logical deduction given the extent to
which Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey feel a need to maintain power
and political parity with Iran and the security concerns that
Persian Gulf countries already harbor about the would-be regional
hegemon to their northeast. If any of them follow Iran or if Israel
abandons its policy of nuclear opacity, the domino effect could
spread further and include counties, such as Algeria, that have
sparked proliferation concerns in the past. A proliferation cascade
in the Middle East is not a foregone conclusion. Adroit policy
choices and practices by the Obama administration can build a
bulwark against a Middle East nuclear tipping phenomenon.
READ
MORE
India
INDIA'S NEW FACE. Robert D. Kaplan,
Atlantic Monthly, April 2009, var. pages. "Meet Narendra Modi, chief minister of Gujarat and the brightest
star in the Hindu-chauvinist Bharatiya Janata Party. Under Modi,
Gujarat has become an economic dynamo. But he also presided over
India’s worst communal riots in decades, a 2002 slaughter that left
almost 2,000 Muslims dead. Exploiting the insecurities and tensions
stoked by India’s opening to the world, Modi has turned his state
into a stronghold of Hindu extremism, shredding Gandhi’s vision of
secular coexistence in the process. One day, he could be governing
the world’s largest democracy."
READ MORE
CITIZEN INDIA: THE MANY ARE ONE.
Pavan K. Varma, World Policy Journal, Spring 2009, pp. 45–52.
"Winston Churchill once said that India is merely a “geographical
expression—no more a single country than the equator.” His colonial
assumption was that the Indian nation was a creation of the British,
and that prior to it there was only a collection of competing
diversities—linguistic, ethnic, religious, regional, and political.
Today, Churchill can perhaps be forgiven for articulating the hubris
of a conquering power, but the fact is that the notion of India far
preceded the coming of the British in the seventeenth century."
READ MORE
A RISING INDIA'S SEARCH FOR A FOREIGN
POLICY. Harsh V. Pant, Orbis, Spring 2009, pp. 250-264.
"As India seeks to become a major player on the international
political stage, it will face two major internal constraints. First,
India will have to recognize the need to exploit the extant
structure of international system to its advantage more effectively.
Structural constraints are the most formidable ones a state
encounters in its drive towards the status of a major power. Yet,
Indian foreign policy continues to be reactive to the strategic
environment rather than attempting to shape the strategic
realities."
READ MORE
Pakistan
WHAT'S THE PROBLEM WITH PAKISTAN? Stephen P. Cohen, C.
Christine Fair, Sumit Ganguly, Shaun Gregory, Aqil Shah, Ashley J.
Tellis. Foreign Affairs roundtable, var. pages. "A Foreign Affairs roundtable discussion on the causes of instability
in Pakistan and what, if anything, can be done about them."
READ MORE
MUSHARRAF AND PAKISTAN: DEMOCRACY POSTPONED.
Mohamed A. El-Khawas,
Mediterranean Quarterly, Winter 2009, pp. 94-118.
"Following a 1999 coup, Pakistan's General Pervez Musharraf ruled by
decree with the support of the military. He held a presidential
referendum and got his party elected. He amended the constitution to
legitimize his military rule. His involvement in the war on
terrorism led to the rise of religious extremism, and he persuaded
the United States to propose a power-sharing plan. In 2007,
Musharraf got himself re-elected by the outgoing parliament, an
election subsequently challenged in court. In November, he declared
a state of emergency and dismissed Supreme Court justices whom he
feared would rule against him. Under external pressure, he ended the
emergency after he had secured the presidency and resigned from the
military. In 2008, opposition parties won the parliamentary
elections and formed a coalition government. They have not yet
reinstated the dismissed judges. They forced Musharraf to resign,
but more steps are needed to complete the transition to a true
democracy."
READ MORE
WHAT IS HAPPENING IN PAKISTAN? Hilary
Synnott, Survival, February–March 2009, pp. 61-80.
"The challenges in southwestern Asia need to be considered in three
separate but related contexts: Afghanistan, the Afghan–Pakistani
tribal belt, and Pakistan. In the present conjuncture, Pakistan is
arguably the most important of the three. With nuclear weapons and a
huge army, a population over five times that of Afghanistan, and
simultaneous security, political and economic crises, it now seems
less able, without outside help, to muddle through its challenges
than at any time since its war with India in 1971."
READ MORE
TIME FOR SOBER REALISM: RENEGOTIATING
RELATIONS WITH PAKISTAN.
C. Christine Fair, The Washington Quarterly, April
2009, pp. 149 172. "The United States has failed to
achieve all but minimal progress toward most of its objectives with
Pakistan. Pakistan’s intentions and security perceptions are the
crux of the problem, and U.S. policy must significantly change to
address them."
READ MORE
The Future of War
THE 21ST CENTURY SECURITY
ENVIRONMENT AND THE FUTURE OF WAR. Colin S. Gray, Parameters,
Winter 08/09, pp. 14-26. "The author takes the reader on a tour de force of Western grand
strategy and its impact on the future of war, utilizing the
Thucydidean triptych of 'fear, honor, and interest' to analyze the
twenty-first century environment and the ability for nations to plan
for the future conduct of war. Gray cautions, “If you spend a lot of
time talking about the future you can forget that you do not really
know the subject.” He concludes with five pragmatic and sobering
thoughts relating to the future military planners and practitioners
may anticipate. Perhaps his most significant warning is that too
many people have become fixated on the challenge posed by terrorism."
READ MORE
THE FUTURE OF WAR AND AMERICAN
MILITARY STRATEGY. Michael C. Horowitz, Dan A. Shalmon,
Orbis,
Spring 2009, pp. 300-318. "The outcome of ongoing debates over the future of American military
strategy will play a critical role in shaping the foreign and
military policies of the United States over the next decade.
Traditionalists worry about the shift towards emphasizing
counterinsurgency (COIN) operations and irregular warfare, believing
that the use of force is often ineffective in COIN situations and
the American military should concentrate on planning for
conventional war. In contrast, COIN advocates argue that the United
States must focus its efforts on preparing for the wars it is most
likely to fight, irregular wars. However, both schools of thought
rely on assumptions about the future security environment that may
reveal another path forward."
READ MORE
DEFINING STRATEGIC PRIORITIES: BALLISTIC MISSILE DEFENSE, IRAN,
AND RELATIONS WITH MAJOR POWERS. Kenneth B. Moss, Mediterranean Quarterly,
Winter 2009, pp. 31-51. "The planned deployment
of ballistic missile defense systems in Poland and a radar system in
the Czech Republic to defend against possible attack from Iran has
stirred strong opposition from Moscow. Concern about Iran's
nuclear-enrichment program is legitimate, but the United States must
address this issue by reconciling global objectives with regional
tensions in the Middle East. If a negotiated solution is found, US
policy must consider the reasons behind Iran's program, the dangers
of proliferation of nuclear capabilities throughout the Middle East,
and the strategic objectives the United States seeks with Russia,
China, and Europe."
READ MORE
DIRTY
WINDOWS AND BURNING HOUSES: SETTING THE RECORD STRAIGHT ON IRREGULAR
WARFARE.
John A. Nagl and Brian M Burton,
The Washington Quarterly, April 2009, pp. 91 101.
"Although military force is not always the tool of choice, the U.S.
military must continue to improve its ability to conduct
post-conflict reconstruction, counterinsurgencies, and train and
advise allied security forces, all while simultaneously preserving
its major combat capabilities. Balance is the key."
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